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Forex Discussions And News

Discussion in 'Advertising Forum' started by Meeru, Feb 25, 2016.

  1. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Weekly review for 13.06 - 17.06.2016


    During last week volatility in the financial markets was high and demand for the safe-haven currencies and oil has grown. Poor data on HFPR released on Friday before last, and the following the speech by US Fed president, Mrs. Janet Yellen last Monday, (which did not clarify plans for the future monetary policy), has decreased expectations of the interest rate hike in June.

    The chances of the increase are vanishing and are now close to 20%. Last Thursday, Reserve Bank of New Zealand left interest rate at the level of 2.25%, which caused sharp rise in NZD/USD. The pair reached annual highs at the level of 0.7135. Interest rate of New Zealand has remained one of the highest among the 8 major currency pairs and this fact increases attractiveness of the NZD among investors and traders of “carry trade”. Risk free annual profit of 2.25% is better than the zero profit on the Euro or the Yen or Franc.

    The Pound is in demand due to the mixed forecasts and different results of the opinion polls about the UK membership in the EU. According to ORB survey for The Independent, 55% of the respondents were in favor of the British exit from the EU. The Pound and the pair GBP/USD fell last week.

    Price of oil has reached new annual highs. Crude oil Brent has grown up 52.80 USD per barrel after the news of the decrease in the oil inventories in the USA and amid continuing disruptions of oil supply in various regions of the world. The key event of this week is interest rate decisions by the US Fed on Wednesday at 20:00 (GMT+2). Following poor data on NFPR for May, the rise in the interest rate in unlikely. On Wednesday at 20:30 Mrs. Yellen will give her comments on the adopted decision. If her speech will contain hints on the soft monetary policy in the future, the USD will weaken. Market volatility is expected to be high at this time period.

    During this week, Central Banks in the UK, Japan and Switzerland will adopt their interest rate decisions.
    The financial news of this week will also include:
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  2. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Weekly review for 13.06 - 17.06.2016


    Tuesday

    03:00 (GMT+2) – Consumer price inflation in Australia for June. High level of this index will be favourable for the AUD. Previous index was at the level of 3.2%.
    04:30 – Volume of industrial production in Japan for April. This index is the main indicator of the state of manufacturing sector of Japan. Previous index was at the level of -3.5%.
    10:30 – British price indices for May. They show inflation rate in the country. CPI is the key inflation index and the indicator of changes in the purchasing level in the country. Previous CPI was at the level of 0.1% (0.3% on the annual basis). Forecast is the rise of 0.4% on annual basis.
    11:00 – Industrial production level of Eurozone for April and employment rate for Q1.
    14:30 – US indices of export and import and retail sales for May, which is the main indicator of consumer spending and important indicator of inflation rate in the USA. Previous index was at the level of 1.3%.
    22:30 – American Petroleum Institute (API) will issue report on changes in oil reserves for the last week.


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    Haider likes this.
  3. Haider

    Haider Member

    mujhay is bonus ki samajh nahi aee

    please mujhay batayen ke bonus kese hasil karon. or yeh withdrawal ke sath mile ga ?
  4. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Weekly review for 13.06 - 17.06.2016


    Thursday

    00:45 – New Zealand’s GDP for Q1. This index is the main indicator of activity and stability of the national economy. The rise in the index will be favourable for the NZD.
    01:40 – Speech of the head Canadian Central Bank, Mr. Steven Poloz.
    03:30 – Employment rate in Australia for may. The rise in the index will have a positive impact on consumer consumption, which helps improve economic growth in the country.
    05:00 – Interest rate decisions of the Bank of Japan and press-conference on this issue. If the rate is maintained at the present level or decreased, it will have a negative impact on the JPY. Current level of the interest rate is -0.1%. 06:30 – SNB’s report of the financial stability in the country.
    09:30 – Interest rate decision of the Swiss Bank. If the interest rate will be left at the current level or decreased, it will be unfavaurable factor for the SHF. SNB keeps indicating its adherence to the soft monetary policy and possibility of intervene in the currency market. Press conference of SNB.
    10:30 – UK retail sales data for May, which is an indicator of consumer spending and inflation.
    11:00 – Consumer price index in Eurozone for May, which is a key indicator of inflation rate. In case of the positive index the EUR will grow. Investors will closely monitor the indices. Any deviation from the forecast will cause the increase in volatility.
    13:00 – Interest rate decision of the Bank of England. Changes are not expected. However, the following up comments will indicate the plans for the interest rate and monetary policy. Current interest rate is at the level of 0.5%.
    14:30 – primary and secondary applications for the unemployment benefits in the USA for the last week. Previous number of initial applications was 264 000. The rise of applications will be unfavourable for the USD.
    16:00 – Housing price index in the USA for June. This index indicates sales level and prospects for construction.

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  5. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Weekly review for 13.06 - 17.06.2016

    Friday

    00:30 – Business activity index in the manufacturing sector of New Zealand (PMI). This index evaluates business conditions in the country. If the index grows above 50, is shows high activity in business and will be favourable for the NZD. Previous index was at the level of 56.5.
    14:00 – Meeting of the Council of Finance Ministers of Eurozone.
    14:30 – Started home constructions in the USA and the number of construction permits in May. This index indicates dynamics of corporate investments and increases volatility in the USD.
    14:30 – Base consumer price index in Canada for May.
    17:00 – Speech by Mario Draghi, ECB President. Usually his speech causes the increase in market volatility.

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  6. Haider

    Haider Member

    great analysis thank you so much
  7. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Attention: remember to update your MetaTrader 4 terminal to the latest version

    Download and install the latest version from LiteForex's official site by 1st July 2016


    Please be aware that from 1st July 2016, MetaTrader 4 trading terminals older than build 940 will no longer be supported.

    Please download and install the latest version of the trading terminal from LiteForex's official site.

    Should you have any inquiries, please contact our support team via LiveChat or through any other method of communication available at LiteForex.


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  8. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Happy Ramadan!

    The LiteForex Company congratulates all Muslims on the beginning of the holy month of Ramadan!



    May this holy Fast unite Muslims all over the world and help them purify their minds and bodies and test the strength of their beliefs. We hope that your namaz will be heard and your families - fully rewarded for their patience, pure thoughts, and good deeds.

    The LiteForex team sincerely wishes you moral courage and strength on your way to well-being, health, and happiness!

    Best regards,
    The LiteForex broker team


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  9. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    GBP/USD: encouraging results of Sunday’s poll. Fundamental analysis

    After the attack on a member of the British Parliament Mr. Joe Cox last Thursday, who died later in a hospital, supporters of the UK’s membership in the EU have increased.

    A referendum on the UK's membership in the EU will be held on 23 June. The results of the referendum will be published on Friday, at 04:00 (GMT+2). The decision to exit the EU can cause turmoil not only in the economy of the UK and EU, but also in other parts of the world.

    It may also trigger the desire to leave the EU among some other countries. First and foremost it can happen in Ireland, (as the economy of this country is closely tied to the UK), and Portugal, a troubled banking system of which can lose cheap loans from ECB.

    Various polls show that the number of people who wish to exit from the UK exceeds those who want to stay in the EU. However, the situation is changing.

    The results of the public pool organized by the company Survation, which became known last Sunday, showed that 45% of voters will vote for keeping UK’s membership in the EU. 42% will vote for the exit. Sunday's survey by YouGov showed that membership in the EU was supported by 44% of respondents, and 43% of respondents were going to vote for the exit. In the result of such encouraging polls, the Pound began to strengthen sharply and in the opening of the trading day on Monday, the pair GBP/USD went up. The gap at the opening was more than 110 points and the positive dynamics in the pair continues. The results of voting will be known on Friday. If there won’t be any other negative economic and political news, the pair GBP/USD can grow on this positive news until the referendum.

    If the British people vote for the exit from the EU, the Pound and the British stock market can fall by over 20%, according to the head of the bank of England, Mr. Carney.

    After that GDP in the country can drop, causing the increasing in unemployment and decline in the living standards in th


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  10. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Analytical review of the currency pair NZD/USD as of 20.06.2016.


    Analytical review:

    Since the beginning of June the NZD has grown against the USD for over 350 points. At the moment, support and resistance levels of the currency are 0.6980 and 0.7145 respectively;
    Last week, important statistics of New Zealand was published. According to Statistical Office of the country, GDP growth for the previous quarter was 0.7%, against expectations of 0.5%;
    NZD is a commodity currency. Demand for the NZD is associated with the rise in oil prices. During the Asian session futures for crude oil WTI has grown by 1%;;
    “Commitments of Traders” shows ambiguous picture. Large investors have reduced the number of long positions by 2634 contracts. Contracts for the short positions have also dropped by 14116;
    Important data of this week will include: speech by the head of the US Fed, Mrs. Janet Yellen (Wednesday). This event may affect movement direction in the pair and market volatility
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  11. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Weekly review for 20.06-26.06.2016.


    Last week volatility in the market was very high, due to a lot of economic and political news. Last week, the price of crude oil prices Brent has rapidly declined from the annual highs of 52.80 USD per barrel, causing the strengthening in the Cad against the USD. Inactivity of the US Fed and the Bank of Japan, which kept their monetary policies unchanged, as well as comments of the Central Banks’ representatives led to the decline in the USD and strengthening in the Yen and increasing demand for gold, as safe haven assets. Forthcoming referendum on Bretix also has its effect.

    Market mildly responded on the decision of the SNB to leave monetary policy in the country unchanged. Market’s reaction on the decision of the Bank of England to keep monetary policy unchanged was similar. However, the attack on the Deputy of the British Parliament, Mr. Joe Cox, who later died in the hospital, has triggered strong reaction. Joe Cox was a known supporter of keeping membership of the UK in the European Union, and the attacker was a supporter of the radical party, which advocated exit of the UK from the EU. After this tragedy the Governor of the Bank of England Mr. Mark Carney canceled his speech on Thursday after the meeting of the Bank of England and the release of the minutes of the previous meeting where interest rate decision was adopted.

    There was an opinion in mass media that this event may increase the number of supporters of the UK’s membership in the EU. GBP/USD and EUR/USD strengthened significantly on Friday, causing the rise in the Euro and the Pound against the USD last week. On the weekly charts of these currency pairs pin-bars has been formed, which, from a technical point of view, can trigger further growth in the pairs. However, a crucial role in the movement of the Euro, the Pound and the European stock indices, and generally in the market this week will depend on the referendum in the UK, which will held on 23 June at 22:00 (GMT+2), and the results of which will be announced on Friday at 04:00 (GMT+2). The results of the recent polls indicate growing number of supporters of the country's exit from the EU.

    However, according to the recent polls, conducted this weekend, membership of the UK in the EU is supported by a larger number of respondents in the UK compared with those who support country's exit from the European Union. With the opening of the trading day on Monday, the Euro and the Pound went up with a gap 28 and 113 points, respectively.

    However, there are two opinions about possible developments of the market reaction on this event. First of all, exit of the UK from the EU may provoke a powerful reallocation of funds in the financial markets involving, a serious shock in the global financial system and the economy and creating a new economic crisis. The price in the Yen, gold, Swiss franc, the US dollar can sharply go up. British GDP may sharply go down, increasing unemployment as causing decline in living standards.

    According to the second opinion, market’s reaction can be milder than expected, as although the UK is one of the leading financial centers of the world, it does not have as powerful economic influence, as Chine, for example.

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  12. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Tuesday
    01:25 (GMT+2) – a speech by the Deputy chairman of the RBA, Mr. Debelle.

    01:50 – meeting of the monetary policy Committee of the Bank of Japan.

    03:30 – housing price index and minutes of the last meeting of RBA.

    06:30 – index of activity in all economic sectors of Japan, excluding financial sector. This index is the leading indicator of the workforce productivity for April.

    11:00 – ZEW index of business sentiment in Germany, ZEW index of economic sentiment assessing sentiments of the financial investors in June, ZEW index of business sentiment in Eurozone for June.

    15:00 – speech by the head of ECB, Mr. Mario Gradhi.

    16:00 – speech by the head of the US Fed, Mrs. Janet Yellen.

    22:30 – American Petroleum Institute (API) will release report on changes to the oil reserves in the USA for the last week.


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  13. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Wednesday
    Meeting of ECB, publication of LTRO program to support liquidity of the banking system of Eurozone.

    15:00 – housing price index in the USA for April.

    15:00 – quarterly report of SNB for Q2.

    16:00 – speech by the US Fed, Mrs. Janet Yellen.

    16:30 – US Department of Energy will issue weekly report on the US oil inventories in the warehouses.
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  14. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Thursday
    Referendum on the UK’s membership in the EU will be held.

    01:05 – British consumer confidence by Gfk Group for June, which is a leading indicator, reflecting the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. Positive index will indicate economic growth in the country and will be favourable for the GBP and Vice versa.

    07:00 – the index of leading/coincident indicators, which tracks current state of the Japanese economy in April.

    09:30 – preliminary data on business activity index (PMI) in economic various sectors of Germany for June, including manufacturing index (PMI), which is an important indicator of business conditions and of the general state of German economy.

    10:15 - speech by the Deputy chairman of RBA, Mr. Debelle.

    14:30 – 16:00 – important US macro-economic statistics, including the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits, preliminary data on business activity indices in various sectors of the American economy (PMI) for June. Leading indicators, estimating future economic development and stability of the American economy as a whole (state of the labor market, permits to construct, price of the securities and the yield of bonds) in May, sales of new homes in the USA for May

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  15. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Friday
    Outcome of the referendum in the UK will become known.

    10:00 – indicators, assessing current state of the German economy, index of business optimism and economic expectations in June.

    14:30 – number of orders for durable goods in the USA for May, which provides for large investments. In case of the negative index, the USD will decline.

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  16. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Analytical review of the currency pair EUR/USD

    Analytical review:

    Last week, the Euro significantly fell against the USD (over 400 points). During trading session last Friday, the pair fell by over 2%. Currently, local support and resistance levels are 1.0945 and 1.1145 respectively;
    On Thursday, 23 June Great Britain voted for the exit from the EU, which caused high volatility in the financial market. This decision caused significant decline in the Euro against the USD. Investors are anxious that Bretix can provoke the exit of some other EU members from the Union;
    Markets’ expectations of the interest rate in the USA have dropped, increasing uncertainty of the future monetary policies of the major Central Banks of the world. At the moment, demand for the safe-haven assets, such as gold and the Yen are increasing;
    “Commitments of Traders” shows ambiguous picture. Large investors have increased the number of long positions by 3821 contracts. The number of short positions have dropped by 414 contracts;
    The news of this week will include: US GDP (Tuesday) and German unemployment rate (Thursday). This news can affect market volatility and currency movement.



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  17. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Weekly review as of 26.06-03.07.2016

    The key event of last week is the UK referendum, which has destabilized the global financial markets. Official results showed that 51.9% of the votes were of the exit from the EU and 48.1% votes were against this.

    After the announcement of the results of the referendum last Friday, the pair GBP/USD fell by 12% from the session’s highs at 1.5018 to the lows since 1985 at the level of 1.3224. On Monday morning the pair dropped by 2.5%, to 1.3355. World stock markets collapsed. European index StoxxEurope600 fell by 7.0%, which was the most significant decline since the financial crisis of 2008. The British index FTSE 250 fell by 7.2%, showing its worst one-day result in a few decades. The German DAX fell by 6.8% and France's CAC-40 lost 8%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Average fell by 7.9%. At the same time, the price of gold sharply went up. Demand for the Japanese yen has also sharply increased, particularly in the pairs with the Euro and Pound. In order to stabilize the situation and prevent sharp rise in Franc, Swiss National Bank intervened into the foreign exchange market.

    Now, there is uncertainty in the currency market, as it is not clear what will be future development of the financial markets and economies in Europe and the UK. British Minister of Finance, Mr. Osborne said today that uncertainty will affect the economy, public finances; British economy will have to adjust to a new situation.
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  18. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    GBP/USD: The decline in the Pound is likely to continue. Fundamental analysis for 27.06.2016

    Decision of the British people to leave the EU last Friday came as a shock to the world's financial markets, causing the decline in stocks and in the British pound. StoxxEurope600 fell by 7%, which was the smost significant decline since 2008. Japan's Nikkei Stock Average fell by 7.9%. The British index FTSE 250 fell by 7.2%. At the closing last Friday the Pound reached the lowest level for more than 30 years.

    At the same time, demand for safe-haven assets, such as gold and the Yen, has increased, as well as the trading volume for these assets. In order to avoid destabilization and sharp rise in Franc, Swiss National Bank carried out intervention to the currency last Friday.

    Although British Finance Minister, Mr. George Osborne tried to reassure financial markets saying that the British economy remains steady, markets continue assess this event as a negative factor. Osborne said the British economy is strong and its banks and financial system are steady. Nevertheless, the pair GBP/USD continues to remain at lows of the past 30 years.

    Since the opening of the trading session today, the market is in correction and the pair GBP/USD is under pressure.

    However, probably, exit procedure will continue for more than one year. Within this time market will adjust to new conditions. Sooner or later the pair GBP/USD will experience correction and the Pound will start to rise.

    This week, we will recommend to open only short positions on the pair GBP/USD.

    Today’s news will include a speech by the head of ECB, Mr. Mario Draghi at 19:30 (GMT+2). He will give his opinion about the UK referendum and future plans of ECB.


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  19. Meeru

    Meeru Active Member

    Nasdaq Composite: American stock indices are slightly recovering Technical analysis for 28.06.2016


    Support levels: 4180.0, 4125.0 and 4100.0.
    Resistance levels: 4235.0, 4258.0, 4300.0, 4320.0, 4395.0 and 4410.0.

    Trading tips
    It is safer to stay away from the market. However, for the active traders we give the following tips:

    Sell Stop: 4215.0, 4198.0. Stop Loss: 4240.0. Targets: 4180.0, 4125.0 and 4100.0.
    Buy Stop: 4240.0. Stop Loss: 4215.0. Targets: 4258.0, 4300.0, 4320.0, 4395.0 and 4410.0.

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  20. Haider

    Haider Member


    sad news for those who invested in GBP. hoping for it's stability.
    it could be disastrous for some. and at the same time beneficial who sell before the decline

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